The decline in bullish sentiment has been trending like that since mid-June before this particular image was taken. You can see the market’s reaction to declining investor bullishness in the chart of crude oil below. As investor sentiment cools, traders may become more cautious about their risk exposure with tighter stops or protective options. Commodity traders have access to a special market report each week that provides a snapshot of the positions of large institutional traders and small speculators in each commodity futures category. This information is called the commitment of traders report or “COT report” and is provided by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission.

  1. COT reports can be obtained from the CFTC website and can be downloaded in several file formats.
  2. Typically, these are dealers and intermediaries that earn commissions on selling financial products, capturing bid/offer spreads and otherwise accommodating clients.
  3. Options.Certain requirements must be met in order to trade options.
  4. Alternative Assets.Brokerage services for alternative assets available on Public are offered by Dalmore Group, LLC (“Dalmore”), member of FINRA & SIPC.
  5. This is technically bullish but there are warning signs on the horizon.

Highlights important summary options statistics to provide a forward looking indication of investors’ sentiment. With its earnings, SoFi provided more visibility on its tech platform growth. During Q4, the company’s tech platform segment generated revenue of $96.9 million, up by 13% year-over-year (YOY). That brought the segment’s 2023 full-year revenue to $352.3 million, up by 12% YOY. For our next example, let’s download a piece of macroeconomic data with specific dates and save it as a .csv file. After having been in the investing world for more than 25 years from private banking and investment management to private and venture capital; I have pretty much “been there and done that” at one point or another.

Ratings are not recommendations to purchase, hold, or sell securities, and they do not address the market value of securities or their suitability for investment purposes. Clearing members, futures commission merchants, and foreign brokers (collectively called reporting firms) file daily reports with the Commission. Those reports show the futures and option positions of traders that hold positions above specific reporting levels set by CFTC regulations. The aggregate of all traders’ positions reported to the Commission usually represents 70 to 90 percent of the total open interest in any given market. Alternative Assets.Brokerage services for alternative assets available on Public are offered by Dalmore Group, LLC (“Dalmore”), member of FINRA & SIPC. “Alternative assets,” as the term is used at Public, are equity securities that have been issued pursuant to Regulation A of the Securities Act of 1933 (as amended) (“Regulation A”).

Another disruption could be coming, but investors will have to be patient.

Barchart also offers extensive historical data through Barchart Excel and via API through Barchart OnDemand (Web Services). Both services provide access to historical market data across stocks, options, indices, futures and currencies. The change in long or short positions can tell us a little bit about the trend in investor sentiment. Long positions have declined since last week and short positions have increased. This seems to indicate that there is some decline in bullish sentiment.

Tax considerations with options transactions are unique and investors considering options should consult their tax advisor as to how taxes affect the outcome of each options strategy. Additional information about your broker can be found by clicking here. Public Investing is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Public Holdings, Inc. (“Public Holdings”). This is not an offer, solicitation of an offer, or advice to buy or sell securities or open a brokerage account in any jurisdiction where Public Investing is not registered.

Price and EPS Surprise Chart

The difference between outcomes is dependent on whether the market is in a bullish or bearish cycle. Cott (COT) reported Q earnings per share (EPS) of $0.21, missing estimates of $0.27 by 22.35%. In the same quarter last year, Cott’s earnings per share (EPS) was $0.01. Cott is expected to release next earnings on -, with an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of $0.17.

As an investor, you want to buy stocks with the highest probability of success. That means you want to buy stocks with a Zacks Rank #1 or #2, Strong Buy or Buy, which also has a Score of an A or a B in your personal trading style. The scores are based on the trading styles of Value, Growth, and Momentum. There’s also a VGM Score (‘V’ for Value, ‘G’ for Growth and ‘M’ for Momentum), which combines the weighted average of the individual style scores into one score.

Don’t Let the Intel Shocker Shake You Out of AMD Stock

The CFTC releases the data on Fridays but the report is current as of the Tuesday before each Friday’s release. The data is available from the CFTC’s website and is prominently featured right from the home page. The COT report can provide a window into what large institutional traders are doing. The legacy COT report separates reportable traders only into “commercial” and “non-commercial” categories. The long and short open interest shown as “Nonreportable Positions” is derived by subtracting total long and short “Reportable Positions” from the total open interest.

Buy Cott (COT) Stock

It provides a deeper breakdown of the market participants, splitting commercial traders into producers, merchants, processors, users, and swap dealers. The noncommercial participants are split between managed money and other reportables. The supplemental report is the one that outlines 13 specific agricultural commodity contracts. This report shows a breakdown of open interest positions in three different categories. These categories include non-commercial, commercial, and index traders. The COT provides an overview of what the key market participants think and helps determine the likelihood of a trend continuing or coming to an end.

It’s calculated by dividing the current share price by the earnings per share (or EPS). It can also be calculated by dividing the company’s Market Cap by the Net Profit. This widget shows the number of times this symbol reached a new low price for specific periods, from the past 5-Days to the past 20-Years. This widget shows the number of times this symbol reached a new high price for specific periods, from the past 5-Days to the past 20-Years. The list of symbols included on the page is updated every 10 minutes throughout the trading day.

The historical non-correlation changed in 2000, and rate movements and stock prices became correlated. The Federal Reserve is the only change that explains this immediate switch from non-correlation to correlation. There are a couple of reasons why NCTs are shorting the market so extremely. The first is that they are betting on a further decline in the market. Such is possible given they were late shorting the market in 2022, and the recent rally from the October lows provides a better entry point. The second reason is they are hedging long positions in portfolios against a decline.

The exact rebate will depend on the specifics of each transaction and will be previewed for you prior to submitting each trade. This rebate will be deducted from your cost to place the trade and will be reflected on your trade confirmation. Order flow rebates why is bp stock so low are not available for non-options transactions. To learn more, see our Fee Schedule, Order Flow Rebate FAQ, and Order Flow Rebate Program Terms & Conditions. Market cap, also known as market capitalization, is the total market value of a company.

The chart below strips out all positioning except when the net short positioning exceeds 100,000 contracts. Not surprisingly, since 2000, each such condition was at, or near, a peak in interest rates. Notably, there was only one other period in our data where the net short positioning was so extreme.